It is the case that the Role Potential Scores are likely to produce an anchoring effect and a tendency to confirm the findings; however, the Role Potential scores are produced from hard data comparable across all countries of the world. Analysis of a particular situation is rarely measured in scale to every other comparable situation. This fact gives rise to the popular saying in analytic circles, "No man, being shot at, refers to his dilemma as a low-intensity conflict." The forces exerted on the analyst by the Role Potential scores enforce discipline in the analyst to consider his/her query in comparable terms of other similar queries. This prevents the over representation of situations that: receive more press, are considered more morally offensive, present "third variable confounds", etc. This type of discipline combats other biases such as the availability heuristic, gambler's fallacy, etc. The methods in this project are specifically and intentionally designed to combat biases which inhibit the objective, comparably scaled analysis across an area as great as Sub-Saharan Africa.
Discussion on Structured Biases:
It is the case that the Role Potential Scores are likely to produce an anchoring effect and a tendency to confirm the findings; however, the Role Potential scores are produced from hard data comparable across all countries of the world. Analysis of a particular situation is rarely measured in scale to every other comparable situation. This fact gives rise to the popular saying in analytic circles, "No man, being shot at, refers to his dilemma as a low-intensity conflict." The forces exerted on the analyst by the Role Potential scores enforce discipline in the analyst to consider his/her query in comparable terms of other similar queries. This prevents the over representation of situations that: receive more press, are considered more morally offensive, present "third variable confounds", etc. This type of discipline combats other biases such as the availability heuristic, gambler's fallacy, etc. The methods in this project are specifically and intentionally designed to combat biases which inhibit the objective, comparably scaled analysis across an area as great as Sub-Saharan Africa.